Turkey’s Elections Too Close to Call
Public support for the two leading candidates is nearly evenly divided, making it extremely difficult to identify a clear frontrunner
Public support for the two leading candidates is nearly evenly divided, making it extremely difficult to identify a clear frontrunner
Istanbul’s popular Mayor and possible Erdogan rival jailed and banned from politics leaving the opposition in doldrums to pick a champion for defeating Erdogan.
The presence of a Turkish-origin senator would instantly elevate Dr. Oz to a pivotal position in Turkish-American relations. It is also true that an actor who comprehends both perspectives can contribute significantly to bilateral relations.
Nearly every summer, tensions between Turkey and Greece rise in step with national elections on either side of the Aegean; this time, however, both countries’ nationalistic discourses are reaching an unprecedented fever pitch.
Turkish inflation is rising at a worrying rate. Already grappling with the questionable nature of official statistics, everyday Turks are potentially facing dark times as the Erdogan government lacks the financial tools and political capacity to bring inflation under control.
Turkey’s opposition parties have taken important steps to present a united front against Erdogan in next year’s presidential elections. Still, in and of themselves, these measures won’t be enough to secure them an electoral victory in 2023 if they fail to wisely select their presidential candidate.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine incentivizes Berlin and Ankara to recalibrate their bilateral relations, but Scholz’s visit to Turkey isn’t the harbinger of a breakthrough.
A recently published academic article explains the nature of contemporary Bosnian-Turkish relations as a collision of myth and reality.
Considering current regional dynamics and the high-level nature of the interaction, Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to Turkey has greater potential to “normalize” Turkey-Israel relations than previous attempts, which ultimately ended in new crises.
While Ankara’s relations with the West have soured in recent years, its relations with Moscow have come to a more stable footing. Nonetheless, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may cause Turkey to reassess its adversarial approach to old Western partners.
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