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Analysis

Political Crisis and Uncertainty Fuels Bosnia’s Youth Migration

As Bosnia and Herzegovina grapples with political crisis, a survey published by the United Nations Population Fund explores the living conditions, challenges, and emigration stances of the country’s youth. It paints a picture of violent uncertainty created by political instability and youth unemployment.

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Synopsis

Pact For Pluralist Democracy Needed In Post-Erdogan Turkey

Amid deepening economic crisis, domestic and foreign policy disarray, and the decline of public support for Turkey’s strongman president, discussions on what a Turkey without Erdogan could/should look like are becoming more prevalent. Still, many experts agree that the end of Erdogan’s rule in and of itself wouldn’t usher in an era of democracy, especially without the opposition’s adoption of a pluralist approach.

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Synopsis

The “Great Recession” vs the “Great Lockdown”

Along with massive consequences for public health, the global pandemic has taken a toll on the world economy. Due to mandatory lockdowns, economic activity has been all but crippled, barring the operations of most of non-essential businesses.

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Interview

Selcuk Colakoglu: “A Future Russia-China-Turkey Bloc Is Unlikely”

Given the different and often conflicting agendas, a future Russia-China-Turkey bloc is unlikely but three countries continue to use each other as leverage in their economic and foreign affairs

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Synopsis

50 Percent Participation in Turkey’s Labor Force Illuminates an Economy on the Brink

Turkey’s official statistical institute reports decreases in the unemployment rate. Nonetheless, experts argue that the data is unreliable and simply represents the government’s attempt to whitewash the economy’s failing performance.

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Analysis

What do Macroeconomic Indicators say about Turkey’s Economic Struggle?

The pandemic-induced economic crisis and subsequent contractions in global demand will worsen Turkey’s economic outlook, as the AKP’s populist policies and unorthodox approach towards economics pose an increasing risk to the Turkish economy. As a direct result of the government’s intervention in market mechanisms, chronic inflation and the continuous devaluation of the Turkish lira will constitute a nearly insurmountable challenge for the AKP in the short-term.

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Analysis

Fiscal Stimulus Packages amid COVID-19 Pandemic Not Promising in the Middle East and North Africa

The ways in which countries across the Middle East and North Africa are combating the economic backlash presented by coronavirus reveal much about the states of their economies and overall capacities to deal with the consequences of the pandemic.

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Synopsis

Turkey’s “Historic” Natural Gas Discovery might not live up to Expectations

Turkey’s President Erdogan has presented the discovery of natural gas in the Black Sea as a historic success, but realities point to their inadequacy

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Synopsis

Turkish Economy Faces more Headwind amid COVID-19 Pandemic

The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic fallout appear to have compounded Turkey’s economic woes. As trade falls, tax revenue decrease, and the Turkish lira tumbles, the Central Bank appears to be near out of options

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Analysis

China’s Investments in Israel Reflect its Grand Strategy

China’s rapprochement with geopolitically strategic Israel is a result of Beijing’s aims to enhance its reputation while weakening the US’s alliances.